Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001166 0.001225 0.001285 0.001352 0.001423 0.001497 0.001579
2025-07-13 0.001048 0.001131 0.001218 0.001318 0.001430 0.001550 0.001690
2025-07-20 0.000984 0.001085 0.001194 0.001322 0.001469 0.001633 0.001831
2025-07-27 0.000938 0.001052 0.001178 0.001330 0.001509 0.001715 0.001971
2025-08-03 0.000905 0.001029 0.001171 0.001345 0.001555 0.001803 0.002120
2025-08-10 0.000868 0.001000 0.001152 0.001343 0.001579 0.001862 0.002234
2025-08-17 0.000821 0.000955 0.001113 0.001314 0.001566 0.001874 0.002288
2025-08-24 0.000785 0.000922 0.001086 0.001296 0.001565 0.001900 0.002359
2025-08-31 0.000761 0.000903 0.001074 0.001297 0.001586 0.001953 0.002466
2025-09-07 0.000733 0.000876 0.001051 0.001282 0.001586 0.001978 0.002536
2025-09-14 0.000708 0.000854 0.001032 0.001271 0.001589 0.002007 0.002612
2025-09-21 0.000685 0.000832 0.001013 0.001259 0.001591 0.002032 0.002682
2025-09-28 0.000660 0.000808 0.000992 0.001245 0.001591 0.002058 0.002761
2025-10-05 0.000631 0.000776 0.000961 0.001216 0.001570 0.002055 0.002797
2025-10-12 0.000616 0.000764 0.000954 0.001220 0.001593 0.002115 0.002930
2025-10-19 0.000604 0.000755 0.000950 0.001227 0.001622 0.002183 0.003078
2025-10-26 0.000595 0.000749 0.000951 0.001241 0.001660 0.002266 0.003254
2025-11-02 0.000581 0.000736 0.000941 0.001239 0.001676 0.002316 0.003380
2025-11-09 0.000559 0.000712 0.000915 0.001213 0.001653 0.002308 0.003411
2025-11-16 0.000541 0.000693 0.000897 0.001197 0.001646 0.002321 0.003477
2025-11-23 0.000531 0.000684 0.000890 0.001197 0.001662 0.002372 0.003610
2025-11-30 0.000516 0.000668 0.000874 0.001184 0.001658 0.002389 0.003685
2025-12-07 0.000503 0.000654 0.000861 0.001174 0.001658 0.002413 0.003773